Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 10.691994 12.564749 14.617752 17.028562 19.774809 22.798384 26.371626
2025-04-20 7.991174 10.636706 13.847840 17.997074 23.177269 29.389242 37.355454
2025-04-27 6.506333 9.555667 13.561647 19.126145 26.558340 36.035132 48.906481
2025-05-04 5.311313 8.496261 12.973628 19.581474 28.910049 41.408041 59.173235
2025-05-11 4.312980 7.464301 12.175951 19.516209 30.394982 45.605973 68.082559
2025-05-18 3.492392 6.514205 11.301626 19.142371 31.288316 48.934576 75.921799
2025-05-25 2.846677 5.706091 10.492425 18.706553 31.960071 51.898734 83.350505
2025-06-01 2.332667 5.015060 9.749098 18.241483 32.475999 54.591756 90.480228
2025-06-08 1.848509 4.274605 8.795756 17.278545 32.048974 55.740349 95.267839
2025-06-15 1.679737 4.112740 8.842205 18.025987 34.484542 61.521514 107.571501
2025-06-22 1.488089 3.863868 8.684784 18.375380 36.247977 66.308586 118.555927
2025-06-29 1.244605 3.449872 8.141508 17.933599 36.560251 68.687968 125.739908
2025-07-06 0.980291 2.943519 7.366019 17.019688 36.064201 69.892416 131.476823
2025-07-13 0.897586 2.865197 7.493241 17.939026 39.107136 77.523765 148.735012
2025-07-20 0.836223 2.827659 7.704242 19.055656 42.630627 86.257344 168.453888
2025-07-27 0.740048 2.669568 7.610538 19.507814 44.885195 92.846546 184.804390
2025-08-03 0.629994 2.439290 7.302007 19.442449 46.081318 97.553098 198.061533
2025-08-10 0.523516 2.185682 6.885886 19.069776 46.592027 100.983434 209.177225
2025-08-17 0.432537 1.950891 6.470875 18.635377 46.914170 104.050028 219.771680
2025-08-24 0.355988 1.737674 6.069645 18.171834 47.113400 106.866696 230.031121
2025-08-31 0.278182 1.487007 5.506014 17.212079 46.095574 107.159289 235.452771
2025-09-07 0.257806 1.458282 5.596003 17.957048 49.036197 115.679618 257.296465
2025-09-14 0.229868 1.386922 5.540482 18.305289 51.077287 122.458980 276.052603